Wednesday, September 19, 2012

FedEx Is Downbeat on Chinese Economy


Slowdown in Trade, Customer Shift to Cheaper Services Hit Shipper 

Updated September 18, 2012, 2:15 p.m. ET

Not a pretty picture. This article states that, "We see the [U.S.] economy not improving from here," FedEx Chief Financial Officer Alan Graf said Tuesday. He noted that its outlook for growth in U.S. gross domestic product next year has been given "a significant haircut"—to 1.9%, from an anticipated 2.4% just three months ago. Its forecast for global GDP growth next year was cut to 2.7% from 3% previously."

Mr. Fred Smith, FedEx's CEO blamed "policy choices" in the U.S., China and Europe for causing global trade to decelerate even faster than GDP, with U.S. stimulus efforts adding to the pressure on fuel costs by pushing investors into commodities.

The company lowered its full-year earnings view, now expecting between $6.20 and $6.60 a share, down from an already disappointing forecast of $6.90 to $7.40 in June. For its current quarter ending in November, FedEx forecast per-share earnings of between $1.30 and $1.45, below the consensus estimates of $1.67 from analysts surveyed by Thomson Reuters. 

What could Fred Smith be planning to adjust business in this difficult Chinese market?

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